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CATASTROPHES IN NATURE AND SOCIETY
Mathematical Modeling of Complex Systems

by Rem G Khlebopros (Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia) , Victor A Okhonin (Toronto University, Canada) , & Abram I Fet (Novosibirsk University, Russia)

Many people are concerned about crises leading to disasters in nature, in social and economic life. The book offers a popular account of the causative mechanisms of critical states and breakdown in a broad range of natural and cultural systems — which obey the same laws — and thus makes the reader aware of the origin of catastrophic events and the ways to avoid and mitigate their negative consequences. The authors apply a single mathematical approach to investigate the revolt of cancer cells that destroy living organisms and population outbreaks that upset natural ecosystems, the balance between biosphere and global climate interfered lately by industry, the driving mechanisms of market and related economic and social phenomena, as well as the electoral system the proper use of which is an arduous accomplishment of democracy.

 
Table of Contents
 
Readership: Broad educated public, university courses in ecology, economics and political science.
 
“The book makes people aware of the pending emergencies and helps them join the constructive process of monitoring the history.”
Igor Vorontsov

Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
 
“A book about catastrophes may seem pessimistic. But the authors are looking into the mechanisms of disasters and thus make them avoidable.”
Professor Leo Levitin
Boston University
 
“Which chapter to read first? — All are exciting.”
Dominique Proy
Director
Earth Interactive Governance, Paris
 
“This is an excellent guide to a scientific approach to catastrophes. It reports new original ideas presented with an incredible simplicity and accessible to general public.”
Professor Simon Shnoll
Moscow University, Moscow
 
“Catastrophes similar to those treated in this book are familiar to physicists as phase transitions in nonliving materials. Krasnoyarsk scientists ventured to explain and predict phase change in biological and social processes using their experience of studying complex systems in physics.”
Victor Bar'yahtar
Ukraine National Academy of Sciences, Kiev
 
“The book offers a new interpretation of economic crises prompted by comparison with population outbreaks. This is not a mere analogy but rather a modeling method to be used in planning and running industrial enterprises and solving environmental problems.”
Professor Dmitry Krass
Toronto University
 
“This is a really nice book with many fascinating points.”
Roberto Ceriani
ICU Department of Humanitas-Gavazzeni, Bergamo
 
“… by the sheer number and diversity of applications in their book the authors show that their approach can be applied in relation to virtually every current policy issue … they supply a promising alternative; a paper, pencil, brain power and data driven approach.”
The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation
 
336pp
Pub. date: Feb 2007
eISBN: 9789812707550
 
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